Four rows, written by hand. Press one and the bug takes that claim. Every price on this desk is a sample.
XMPM is X Money Poly Markets. Poly, in the name, means a prediction market: a yes-or-no question that pays if that answer is the one that happens.
X is the social platform. X Money is the payments balance inside it. The idea is narrow. You post some of that balance on one side of a question. If your side is called, you are paid. If it is not, the amount you posted is gone. When the question resolves, the payout is written to Solana, where anyone can look up the transaction.
The sequence, once a real desk exists, runs in four steps. You pick a side. You name an amount of X Money, and that amount leaves the part of your X balance you can spend. You hold contracts against a pool. The call either pays those contracts or zeroes them, and the result is a Solana signature on the bug.
This page is the desk you are reading, and it is a preview. It cannot take a deposit or place an order. The rows under the bug were typed by hand so the frame would have a claim to show.
The person this fits already has the argument open on X. A rate decision, an election, a launch, a final. They would fund a side from the balance on the same platform where they are reading about it, instead of opening a separate account at a separate venue. If you do not want a price on a claim, XMPM has nothing to sell you.
XMPM is independent. X, Polymarket, and Solana Labs have not endorsed it. Their names are here because the rails are theirs to run, and this product would use those rails.
A contract is one side of a published question. The price is a number from 0 to 1. On the sample book, Yes at 0.62 means you pay 0.62 X Money now for a contract that pays 1.00 if Yes is called, and 0 if it is not.
No is the other side of the same question. In this fee-free sample, Yes 0.62 and No 0.38 add to 1.00. That is the whole claim: somebody is on the other side of your price. A live book can print a gap once fees and inventory exist. Fees are not set, so this page will not invent one.
You are buying a payout, not a share of X, and not a token with a ticker. Holding the contract until the call is the only path described here. Selling before resolution has no rule yet. Until that rule is written, assume you are in for the duration.
YES if the Federal Reserve’s published upper bound on the federal funds target range is lower on 30 June 2027 than the opening print named in the market. Sample rule, sample price.
Solana keeps the record of the call. The desk is where you read the question and post X Money. When a market resolves, the payout instruction is a transaction: which market, which side, who was paid, how much, which slot. The bug is supposed to show that signature while the desk is still on the story.
Solana is the rail because a confirmed slot is a public fact, and the fee for that write is small next to a payment. That is the design reason. It is not a speed test. This page has not measured one, and it will not borrow someone else’s benchmark.
The stamp on an open row says there is no signature yet. The stamp on D-01 says sample confirmed, and the signature begins with SAMPLE so it cannot be pasted into an explorer and mistaken for mainnet. XMPM does not ask you to hold SOL to read this page. Whether a finished product ever asks for a wallet is undecided. The design keeps the funding step inside X Money, and keeps the chain write on XMPM’s side of the desk.
These figures belong to A-14 only. If you called another race on the bug, this ledger did not follow you. Every number is synthetic. Rounded to the nearest hundredth. A production book has to publish its rounding rule. This one has not.
Post 250.00 X Money on Yes at 0.62. Contracts = 250.00 / 0.62 = 403.23. If the race is called Yes, those contracts pay 403.23. You are ahead 153.23 against the 250.00 you posted. If the race is called No, they pay 0, and the 250.00 is lost.
The same 250.00 posted on No at 0.38 buys 657.89 contracts. Called No, they pay 657.89, and you are ahead 407.89. Called Yes, they pay 0. The side the sample book treats as less likely pays more when it hits, because you bought more contracts per unit of X Money.
| Side | Price | Contracts | If that side is called | If the other side is called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.62 | 403.23 | Paid 403.23. Ahead 153.23. | Paid 0. The 250.00 is lost. |
| No | 0.38 | 657.89 | Paid 657.89. Ahead 407.89. | Paid 0. The 250.00 is lost. |
The amount you post can go to zero. Prices move before a call, and once selling exists, selling early can lock in a loss. Read the resolution rule before you care about a price. A sloppy rule is how a market turns into an argument about the argument.
A question that cannot be resolved should be voided, and the collateral returned. That void rule is not written. Do not assume a refund. X can change what an X Money balance is allowed to do. Solana can congest, and a congested slot is a late stamp. Laws differ by country. When access exists, it will be refused where the law says no. This page is not advice to buy a contract, a token, or a balance.
There is no license number here because none has been claimed. There is no volume, no customer count, and no historical fill. D-01 is called because the FOMC did meet in 2025, and the desk needed one finished row. The price it shows, 0.71, was chosen for the example. It is not a record of a trade.
No. You cannot post X Money from this page, and the prices will not move unless you call another sample row. The clock in the desk bar is your computer’s time. It does not mean a market is in session.
XMPM is X Money Poly Markets. X Money is the balance inside X. Poly markets means prediction markets, the yes-or-no kind. It is not a ticker, and it is not a second token you have to buy before you can read a question.
Not to read the desk. Funding, in the design, comes out of X Money. The Solana transaction is the settlement record XMPM would submit. A later build might still ask for a wallet. That decision is open, so this page will not promise you will never see one.
No. Polymarket is someone else’s venue. XMPM is a preview about funding prediction markets with an X Money balance and settling them on Solana. Similar questions can exist in more than one place. That does not make the venues the same.
The market rule names the source. For A-14, that source is the Federal Reserve’s published target range. If the source is silent or contradictory, the honest result is a void. The procedure for a void, including who decides and how fast collateral comes back, is not written yet.
Unknown, on purpose. Prediction markets and payment balances are restricted in plenty of places. A real access list would have to check the country you enter below. The form on this page does not perform that check.
Leave a name, an X handle, an email, and a country. This preview keeps the request in the browser and then throws it away. It will not put you on a list, because there is no list yet.